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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has successfully made 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Keon Ellis has tallied 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.5 more than he's tallied overall this season.

The matchup against the Pelicans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season.

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Kings.

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Sacramento Kings's poor 19.5 foul shot attempts per game while playing away from home measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans have the home court advantage (least in the NBA).

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