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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2024

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 1.0 rate, Keon Ellis's shots taken have risen this season to 3.8 per game.

Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 7 games at home, 66.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year when playing at home.

Keon Ellis has played 27.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 11.2 more than he's played over the course of the year.

This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.

In regard to 3-point shots, the Kings's lackluster 34.7% rate of converted threes rates 8th-lowest in the league over the last 20 games.

The Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Kings will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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