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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2024

New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has attempted 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

The matchup against New York is a good one; when the New York Knicks are playing at home, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (21.5).

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

In terms of threes, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 34.4% rate of converted threes away from home measures as the 7th-fewest in the league over the last 15 games.

The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the slowest pace team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).

Out of all players in the league, Keon Ellis ranks in the 24th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a measly 0.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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