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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 1.0 clip, Keon Ellis's field goal attempts have spiked this season to 3.3 per game.

Keon Ellis has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 10.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.

This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for field goals; when Irving is on the road fellow starting SGs this year, they have made a massive 51.1% of their field goals (97th percentile).

The Kings are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.

The Kings have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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