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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 1.0 clip, Keon Ellis's shots from the field have spiked this season to 3.3 per game.

Keon Ellis has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.7 higher than he's played overall this season.

The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 4th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (46.2%).

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league on their home court this year.

The Kings rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.

The Kings are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).

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