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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has successfully made 42.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.5% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have totaled 15.6 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a favorable matchup.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Raptors).

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's tallied overall this season.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Keon Ellis has converted 0.3 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Keon Ellis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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