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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Keon Ellis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+158/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -188 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 47.5% of his three-point shots while at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Keon Ellis has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 8.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Kings.

Keon Ellis figures to get a boost in output across the board on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 7thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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