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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/22/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks

Keon Ellis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Keon Ellis registers in the 94th percentile for 3-point prowess with an exceptional 42.3% rate this year.

The Kings will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9th-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Keon Ellis ought to see a rise in efficiency across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league while at home this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Bucks are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).

The Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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