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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Keon Ellis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 40.1% of his three-pointers this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).

The 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis ought to see an increase in output for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 5th-least aggressive team in the league when playing at home this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

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