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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Assists
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has totaled 3.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.

Keon Ellis has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league on the road with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this season.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Magic).

Keon Ellis will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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