Kenyon Martin Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Kenyon Martin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Kenyon Martin Jr.

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Kenyon Martin Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one for threes; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kenyon Martin Jr. is expected to see a rise in output for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Kenyon Martin Jr. has made just 12.5% of his three-pointers this season, quite a bit less than his 30.7 rate last season.
Kenyon Martin Jr. has averaged 10.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 20th percentile.
Kenyon Martin Jr. has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should lead to fewer plays for the 76ers.

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