Kenyon Martin Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Kenyon Martin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Kenyon Martin Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Kenyon Martin Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenyon Martin Jr. has converted 55.7% of his shot attempts from the field playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kenyon Martin Jr. has sunk 56.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 9.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
The Houston Rockets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Houston Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Kenyon Martin Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.0).
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Denver may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are on the road (8th-least in the NBA).

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