Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against New York is a positive one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the highest three rate in the NBA this year (48.0%).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been terrific at drawing fouls of late: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court with 23.8 free throw attempts per game.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will likely see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 78th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for missed three-pointers, compiling a monstrous 3.4 per game this year.
The slowest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Orlando Magic.
The Magic rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.