Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 53.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 11.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this season without the home court advantage.
Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has shot and missed 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range over the course of the season.
In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have averaged the least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.3).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.