Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 6, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 6.0 treys per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.
In terms of offense, the Denver Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game settles in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a good matchup.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.8% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.