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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a good matchup.The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).The Miami Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 9.3% more than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league this year.The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's poor 20.5 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
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