Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-103).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 43.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Hornets is a favorable one for threes; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hornets may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (preserving possessions that can bring about more chances for offense).
As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 3rd-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.3 foul shot attempts per game.