Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 7:17 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 71.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 10.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year when playing at home.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 43.0% of his three-pointers this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Warriors are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.6%).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game.

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