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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 11.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 33.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup vs. San Antonio is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Spurs are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest three rate in the league since the start of last season (41.3%).

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.2 fouls per game last season.

The 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

With respect to drawing fouls, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 19.3 free throw attempts per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Spurs, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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