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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 41.2% of his attempts from downtown with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.8).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.4 more than he's committed overall this season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, averaging just 22.3 foul shots per game.

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