Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game this year when the Spurs are on their home court (11th-least in the league).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance across the board.