Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 38.6% of his 3-point attempts while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 30.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 81st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Max Strus is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when facing fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a colossal 7.3 3-pointers per game (97th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Max Strus is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Strus is at home and squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game (11th percentile).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.