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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2023

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted an impressive 45.5% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 35.7 rate last year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 81st percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Gary Harris is a tough one for shots from the field; when Harris is playing at home and defending fellow starting SGs this year, they have made a measly 42.2% of their shots from the field (77th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted just 8.6 shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.8 rate last year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.

The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production for all stats.

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