Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists - Player Prop Bet 6/7/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 7, 2023

Updated Jun 8, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance for all stats.

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