Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 2:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 30.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Nuggets.
The Bulls have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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