Kenrich Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Kenrich Williams

NBA · Player Props

Kenrich Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kenrich Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (26th-best in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making this a positive matchup.
Kenrich Williams will likely get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 6.5 clip, Kenrich Williams's field goal attempts have declined this year to 4.0 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kenrich Williams ranks in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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