Kenrich Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Kenrich Williams

NBA · Player Props

Kenrich Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Kenrich Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 33.7% on 3-pointers (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court.
Kenrich Williams will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Kenrich Williams has tallied a measly 4.5 points per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.0 points per game last year.
Kenrich Williams has been on the court for a mere 15.4 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 22.7 minutes per game last season.
Kenrich Williams has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (79th percentile).
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

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