Kenrich Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kenrich Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kenrich Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenrich Williams has successfully made 39.8% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 25 games.
This year, their opposition has posted 107.4 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; their opposition has attempted a lowly 21.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Kenrich Williams has successfully made a measly 30.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 46.5 rate last season.
Kenrich Williams ought to experience a decrease in performance for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.