Kenrich Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kenrich Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Kenrich Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenrich Williams has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a hard one for field goals; opposing teams have put up the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (44.9%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted just 18.9 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 3.4 clip, Kenrich Williams's field goals made have diminished this season to 2.0 per game.
In comparison to last season's 22.7 clip, Kenrich Williams's playing time has diminished this season to 15.8 minutes per game.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).