Kenrich Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Kenrich Williams

NBA · Player Props

Kenrich Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Kenrich Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenrich Williams has made 76.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 20.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year, opposing teams have tallied 11.2 3-pointers per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 46.5% clip, Kenrich Williams's free-throw performance has decreased this season to 30.0%.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted 25.4 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

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