Kenrich Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kenrich Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Kenrich Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kenrich Williams slots into the 85th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a an exceptional 38.1% rate since the start of last season.
In regard to offense, the Thunder's exceptional 117.5 points per game playing at home places 7th-best in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Golden State Warriors are on the road, the other team has tallied the 5th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (31.8).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Kenrich Williams has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with only 6.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kenrich Williams has converted 46.5% of his free throw attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted an enormous 25.5 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).