Kelly Oubre Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Oubre Jr.

F-G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Oubre Jr. has sunk 8.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has played 33.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 more than he's sunk overall this year away from his home court.
With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's impressive 22.9 free throws per game as the road team settles in as the 7th-best in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Kelly Oubre Jr. has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 3.1 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a tough matchup.
The 76ers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The 76ers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with only 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.