Kelly Oubre Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Kelly Oubre Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Oubre Jr.

F-G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 12:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Oubre Jr. has successfully made 8.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.6 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing on the road.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kelly Oubre Jr. has made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Kelly Oubre Jr. has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
In terms of shooting, the 76ers's unimpressive 109.0 points per game measures as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a hard matchup.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.

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