Kelly Oubre Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Kelly Oubre Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Oubre Jr.

F-G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 4:39 AM UTC

Analysis

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Oubre Jr. has successfully made 7.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the NBA this year (47.0%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA at home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league this year has been the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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