Kelly Oubre Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2025

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Kelly Oubre Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Oubre Jr.

F-G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 31, 2025

Updated Feb 1, 2025 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Oubre Jr. has made 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 76ers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).
Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted in all games this year playing at home.
As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 22.9 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Kelly Oubre Jr. has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 1.1 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, making this a tough matchup.
The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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