Kelly Oubre Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Kelly Oubre Jr.

F-G · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 14, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 2:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home.
Kelly Oubre Jr. has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The 76ers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year (the Thunder).
Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Philadelphia 76ers's fantastic 25.4 free throw attempts per game measures as the best in the league over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Kelly Oubre Jr. has sunk 23.7% of his three-point attempts when playing at home this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a hard matchup.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league when playing at home this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Thunder are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).