Kelly Olynyk Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 1.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season at home, putting him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch: 83rd percentile.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Kelly Olynyk will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk lands in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

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