Kelly Olynyk Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has compiled a terrific 2.8 offensive boards per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.3 offensive boards per game last year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Kelly Olynyk will likely see a spike in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has been on the court for a lowly 20.0 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 28.2 minutes per game last year.
The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Over the last 6 games when they are at home, the other team has brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

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