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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk slots into the 84th percentile for shooting ability while playing on the road with a terrific 53.3% rate this year.

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 50.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Kelly Olynyk stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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