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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kelly Olynyk has compiled 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's compiled over the course of the season.

Kelly Olynyk has converted 70.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a strong one for field goals; when Adebayo is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 63.4% of their shots from the field (100th percentile).

The 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Raptors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Olynyk has been called for 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.

The Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).

The clash with Bam Adebayo in terms of getting to the foul line rates in the 14th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 2.7 foul shots per game this year.

Kelly Olynyk will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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