Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has converted 54.1% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kelly Olynyk has tallied just 2.6 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.4 fouls per game last season.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Kelly Olynyk will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has attempted a lowly 1.7 threes per game this year, significantly lower than his 3.5 rate last year.
Relative to last year's 28.5 mark, Kelly Olynyk's playing time has declined this year to 20.2 minutes per game.
In regard to shooting, the Raptors's unimpressive 108.4 points per game on their home court rates 3rd-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.
While playing away from home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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