Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 2:32 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 5.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's made over the course of the year.
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league away from their home court this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Kelly Olynyk has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Kelly Olynyk will likely get a boost in efficiency for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
This year, the other team has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have attempted 23.6 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

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