Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk comes in at the 76th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a stellar 39.0% rate this year.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a tough one for 3-pointers; their opposition has put up the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.0%).
The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Kelly Olynyk measures in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have come down with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team has attempted 26.4 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Kelly Olynyk will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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