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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kelly Olynyk has converted 51.2% of his shot attempts from the field when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.

Kelly Olynyk has sunk 39.5% of his 3-point shots this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.

The rate of 3-point shots scored against Jakob Poeltl has been quite high (43.7%) when he is at home and defending other starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game this year.

The Raptors have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Olynyk has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

In terms of offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.3 points per game as the road team measures as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This matchup is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Raptors have the home court advantage (33.9).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Utah Jazz.

The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Poeltl is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game (11th percentile).

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