Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has converted 56.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 13.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
The 4th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have captured 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Jazz have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 13th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (18.8%).
Kelly Olynyk is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

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