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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 11.8 rate, Kelly Olynyk's points per game have increased this year to 9.5.

This matchup is a tough one for field goals; when the Suns are playing at home, opposing clubs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (45.0%).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Kelly Olynyk will likely see a spike in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Olynyk has been on the court for a lowly 20.0 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 28.2 minutes per game last year.

The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Over the last 6 games when they are at home, the other team has brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

In comparison to last season's 2.9 clip, Kelly Olynyk's foul shots drained have been reduced this season to 1.2 per game.

This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a colossal 28.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

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