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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kelly Olynyk has sunk 36.6% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing teams have put up the 10th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA since the start of last season (46.3%).

The Jazz have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 12thbest in in the NBA while at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk ranks in the 90th percentile for free-throw effectiveness away from home with a a terrific 87.4% rate since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk slots into the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.4 fouls per game since the start of last season.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Jazz have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season, drawing a lowly 20.9 free throws per game.

This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, the other team has attempted a massive 25.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season (6th-most in the league).

Kelly Olynyk will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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