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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Utah Jazz check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Lakers are at home (26th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Lakers are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 6th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.4).

The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 7 games at home, which should lead to decreased plays for the Jazz.

Playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Utah Jazz have been poor at drawing fouls while playing away from home: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying just 21.6 free throws per game.

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