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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kelly Olynyk has averaged a whopping 27.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 18.6 minutes per game last year.
  • The matchup vs. Kyle Anderson is a positive one for field goals; when Anderson is playing on the road fellow starting PFs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 43.7% of their field goal attempts (-300th percentile).
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Jazz.
  • The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Kelly Olynyk has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 37.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, -11.7% less than he's converted in all games this year.
  • Kelly Olynyk has committed 3.9 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.5 fouls per game last year.
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 20 games (12.2).
  • The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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