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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2023

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kelly Olynyk has played an impressive 27.6 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 18.6 minutes per game last season.

This matchup is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.

The Utah Jazz check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Kelly Olynyk has sunk 2.5 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 37.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -11.7% lower than he's converted overall this season.

Kelly Olynyk has committed 3.9 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a hard one for scoring; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 10 games (40.5%).

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease possessions for the Jazz.

While on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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